LinkedIn, Barnes & Noble and Retail Business
Friday, May 20th, 2011Today as I was watching CNBC, financial analysts were commenting on the surging IPO (Initial Public Offering) share price of LinkedIn, a business social media website. The initial offering of $45 a share suggested a market valuation of some $4 billion. Shortly after the IPO, the share price almost tripled and has now settled back into the mid $90s. This indicates that LinkedIn is valued by the market at some somewhere north of $8 billion.
Contrast this with the offer of Liberty Media to acquire Barnes & Noble for just over $1 billion. Barnes & Noble has 705 stores across the United States and some 35,000 employees. It has been looking for a buyer since August of 2010 and many believed that no one would step up to the table until Liberty’s most recent offer. By comparison, LinkedIn has around 1,000 employees and operates from one location in Mountain View, California.
What is one to make of these two news events? Is LinkedIn really worth $8 billion and, if so, what does it say about the value of retail bookstores that are being impacted by the public acceptance of digital books? More importantly, what does it mean to commercial real estate values, employment and retail businesses that rely on the physical movement of goods and services? What does this news portend for property tax revenue for local governments across the United States?
I don’t know the answers to these questions and am surprised that none of the financial analysts or news media pundits have addressed the long term implications of these changes. Clearly, the impact of digital efficiencies will have a marked impact on our communities since less storefront properties are required to “sell” physical products. It is difficult to believe that new restaurants, banks and clothing boutiques can replace stores that have been vacated by traditional businesses that were vital to one’s sense of community. I am not sure that people with lattes in Starbucks on their iPhones, iPads, Nooks and Kindles and interacting with their digital community is quite the same as chatting with friends or colleagues at the local diner or coffee shop. Do you?
Like many others, I am not sure where this digital revolution is headed, but I don’t think things will be quite the same for communities across the United States. We need to rethink town planning with an eye to the changes created by this digital revolution. Communities that continue to base town planning around the automobile, FAR (floor to area ratio) and antiquated zoning regulations will soon be catering to vacant storefronts and wondering what went wrong.
Richard W. May
Therese Saint Clair